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Analysis

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Escalation and Restraint: Revisiting the May 2025 Conflict

In the latest series of articles reflecting on the anniversary of the May 2025 India-Pakistan crisis, Shaza Arif explores how the crisis highlights the dangerous stability-instability paradox in South Asia, where nuclear deterrence prevents full scale war but simultaneously enables recurring limited conventional clashes, escalating the risks of miscalculation, arms races, and uncontrolled escalation under the nuclear shadow.

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Report: Preparing for the First Review Conference of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons: An Analysis of the TPNW’s Implementation and Potential for Impact

BASIC is pleased to publish a new report by Dr Laura Rose Brown examining implementation of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) ahead of the treaty’s First Review Conference, scheduled to take place at the United Nations Headquarters in New York in late 2026.

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Brief: Defining Success at the First Review Conference: Advancing Articles 6 and 7 of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

BASIC is pleased to publish a new policy brief by Dr Laura Rose Brown as part of our project examining the implementation of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) ahead of the treaty’s First Review Conference, scheduled to take place at the United Nations Headquarters in New York in late 2026.

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Report: Addressing Future Nuclear Crisis Scenarios in South Asia through a Responsibility-Based Approach

This report is a product of two Track 2/1.5 dialogues involving two crisis simulations that were facilitated by BASIC’s Responsibilities and Global Governance Programme with participants from Indian and Pakistani nuclear policy communities in Bahrain in February 2026.

“BASIC’s depth of knowledge and administrative competence makes it an excellent partner in the field of military nuclear capability and arms control”

Sir Jeremy Greenstock, GCMG British diplomat

“At a time when transatlantic relationships are under tension, BASIC's role as a source of authoritative analysis is more important than ever.”

Baron Rees of Ludlow Astronomer Royal

“BASIC makes a vital contribution to sustaining recognition that nearly 35 years after the end of the Cold War nuclear weapons continue to put at risk the future of humankind. BASIC is especially to be commended for doing this by fostering dialogue and understanding.”

Peter Jenkins CMG UK Ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency 2001-06

``For about 35 years, in the pursuit of nuclear disarmament, BASIC have championed the cause of mutuality of security. Their ability to engage diversity of views and opinion has attracted deserved admiration.``

Baron Browne of Ladyton Vice Chairman, Nuclear Threat Initiative and former UK Secretary of State for Defence

``For more than three decades, BASIC has challenged conventional thinking on national security matters, and inspired new ways of addressing and solving old problems. I expect it to continue to play this vital role for decades to come.``

Andreas Persbo Director, Open Nuclear Network
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